Match 73Confirmed
Official crossing: South Africa vs Canada
RSASouth Africa
CANCanada
Path probability: 82.6%
Projected winner: Canada
Projected score: 1–2
Match Paths
Every path. Every possibility.
76
Likely paths
16
Confirmed R32
Static model modeGroups finalized: 12/12Updated Jun 28, 04:05 AM
Best third-place race: K, F, E, L, B, J, D, I
Round of 32
Round of 32 crossings
Official FIFA pairings from the group stage. Round of 32 cards show pre-kickoff win probability and projected score.
Match 76Confirmed
Official crossing: Brazil vs Japan
BRABrazil
JPNJapan
Path probability: 61.6%
Projected winner: Brazil
Projected score: 2–1
Match 74Confirmed
Official crossing: Germany vs Paraguay
GERGermany
PARParaguay
Path probability: 62.9%
Projected winner: Germany
Projected score: 2–1
Match 75Confirmed
Official crossing: Netherlands vs Morocco
NEDNetherlands
MARMorocco
Path probability: 66.6%
Projected winner: Netherlands
Projected score: 2–1
Match 78Confirmed
Official crossing: Ivory Coast vs Norway
CIVIvory Coast
NORNorway
Path probability: 78.2%
Projected winner: Norway
Projected score: 1–2
Match 77Confirmed
Official crossing: France vs Sweden
FRAFrance
SUESweden
Path probability: 88.2%
Projected winner: France
Projected score: 2–1
Match 79Confirmed
Official crossing: Mexico vs Ecuador
MEXMexico
ECUEcuador
Path probability: 59.7%
Projected winner: Ecuador
Projected score: 1–2
Match 80Confirmed
Official crossing: England vs DR Congo
ENGEngland
CODDR Congo
Path probability: 89%
Projected winner: England
Projected score: 2–1
Match 82Confirmed
Official crossing: Belgium vs Senegal
BELBelgium
SENSenegal
Path probability: 53%
Projected winner: Belgium
Projected score: 2–1
Match 81Confirmed
Official crossing: United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
USAUnited States
BIHBosnia and Herzegovina
Path probability: 68%
Projected winner: United States
Projected score: 2–1
Match 84Confirmed
Official crossing: Spain vs Austria
ESPSpain
AUTAustria
Path probability: 86.7%
Projected winner: Spain
Projected score: 2–1
Match 83Confirmed
Official crossing: Portugal vs Croatia
PORPortugal
CROCroatia
Path probability: 60.8%
Projected winner: Portugal
Projected score: 2–1
Match 85Confirmed
Official crossing: Switzerland vs Algeria
SUISwitzerland
ALGAlgeria
Path probability: 68%
Projected winner: Switzerland
Projected score: 2–1
Match 88Confirmed
Official crossing: Australia vs Egypt
AUSAustralia
EGYEgypt
Path probability: 61%
Projected winner: Australia
Projected score: 2–1
Match 86Confirmed
Official crossing: Argentina vs Cape Verde
ARGArgentina
CPVCape Verde
Path probability: 95.7%
Projected winner: Argentina
Projected score: 2–1
Match 87Confirmed
Official crossing: Colombia vs Ghana
COLColombia
GHAGhana
Path probability: 93.9%
Projected winner: Colombia
Projected score: 2–1
Final group-stage standings
Final group-stage archive
Annex C resolved: Round of 32 pairings confirmed
Group A
Group complete- 1Mexico9 · +6
- 2South Africa4 · -1
- 3South Korea3 · -1
- 4Czech Republic1 · -4
Feeds slot 2A (R32-73) · Feeds slot 3A? (R32-74)
Group B
Group complete- 1Switzerland7 · +4
- 2Canada4 · +5
- 3Bosnia and Herzegovina4 · -1
- 4Qatar1 · -8
Feeds slot 2B (R32-73) · Feeds slot 3B (R32-74)
Group C
Group complete- 1Brazil7 · +6
- 2Morocco7 · +3
- 3Scotland3 · -3
- 4Haiti0 · -6
Feeds slot 3C? (R32-74) · Feeds slot 2C (R32-75)
Group D
Group complete- 1United States6 · +4
- 2Australia4 · 0
- 3Paraguay4 · -2
- 4Türkiye3 · -2
Feeds slot 3D (R32-74) · Feeds slot 3D (R32-77)
Group E
Group complete- 1Germany6 · +6
- 2Ivory Coast6 · +2
- 3Ecuador4 · 0
- 4Curaçao1 · -8
Feeds slot 1E (R32-74) · Feeds slot 2E (R32-78)
Group F
Group complete- 1Netherlands7 · +6
- 2Japan5 · +4
- 3Sweden4 · 0
- 4Tunisia0 · -10
Feeds slot 3F (R32-74) · Feeds slot 1F (R32-75)
Group G
Group complete- 1Belgium5 · +4
- 2Egypt5 · +2
- 3Iran3 · 0
- 4New Zealand1 · -6
Feeds slot 3G? (R32-77) · Feeds slot 1G (R32-82)
Group H
Group complete- 1Spain7 · +5
- 2Cape Verde3 · 0
- 3Uruguay2 · -1
- 4Saudi Arabia2 · -4
Feeds slot 3H? (R32-77) · Feeds slot 3H? (R32-79)
Group I
Group complete- 1France9 · +8
- 2Norway6 · +1
- 3Senegal3 · +2
- 4Iraq0 · -11
Feeds slot 1I (R32-77) · Feeds slot 2I (R32-78)
Group J
Group complete- 1Argentina9 · +7
- 2Austria4 · 0
- 3Algeria4 · -2
- 4Jordan0 · -5
Feeds slot 3J (R32-80) · Feeds slot 3J (R32-81)
Group K
Group complete- 1Colombia7 · +3
- 2Portugal5 · +5
- 3DR Congo4 · +1
- 4Uzbekistan0 · -9
Feeds slot 3K (R32-80) · Feeds slot 2K (R32-83)
Group L
Group complete- 1England7 · +4
- 2Croatia6 · 0
- 3Ghana4 · 0
- 4Panama0 · -4
Feeds slot 1L (R32-80) · Feeds slot 2L (R32-83)
Top two in each group advance directly
World Cup 2026 · Group stage archive
Best third-placed teams ranking
Final ranking of the 12 third-place teams after the group stage. The top eight qualified for the Round of 32.
Final ranking
Final group-stage archive
Final group-stage ranking
| # | Team | Grp | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DR Congo | K | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 | R32 |
| 2 | Sweden | F | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | R32 |
| 3 | Ecuador | E | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | R32 |
| 4 | Ghana | L | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | R32 |
| 5 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | R32 |
| 6 | Algeria | J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | R32 |
| 7 | Paraguay | D | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | R32 |
| 8 | Senegal | I | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 3 | R32 |
| 9 | Iran | G | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | Out |
| 10 | South Korea | A | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | Out |
| 11 | Scotland | C | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | Out |
| 12 | Uruguay | H | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | Out |
FIFA ranking order for third-placed teams: points, goal difference, goals scored, fair-play conduct, then FIFA/Coca-Cola Men's World Ranking. Fair-play is applied when card data is available; until then we use model Elo as the final tie-break.
Top 8 → Round of 32
Projected winner
3.4%
Spain
Projected winner
1. Argentina vs Spain
Spain
2. Spain vs England
Spain
3. France vs England
France
4. Argentina vs France
France